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Why pros buy options that expire worthless

Imran Lakha
Imran Lakha3 min read

Crash protection puts lose 99% of the time. Pros still buy them.

Understanding why is one of the most important lessons in portfolio risk management.

Deep out-of-the-money puts, sometimes called teeny puts, are lottery tickets. They sit so far from the money that in almost every scenario they expire worthless. Even a decent correction usually leaves them at zero.

Their job is the once-a-decade event that actually blows up portfolios. Normal corrections leave them at zero because they were never designed to profit from those.

The SPX March 2020 3000-strike puts are the textbook example. They bled toward nothing for months into COVID. Then multiplied something like 100 times as the market collapsed in weeks.

Twenty basis points of your book in a position like that can change everything about a crisis year.

For me the lesson is the old desk one. Buy protection when it's cheap and boring. By the time you actually need it, the fear is already in the price and it costs a fortune.

People mock these trades because they usually lose. They forget that the 1% outcome can save a career.

Small allocation to these hedges can vastly improve risk-adjusted returns over long stretches. You'll feel stupid doing it most of the time. That's the point.

Sizing tail hedges properly across a book is exactly the kind of institutional risk management that gets ignored until it's too late.

How can you start treating options like a Pro? The framework I built across 20 years on bank options desks is available below.

Watch my free masterclass (exclusive for serious option traders)

The mechanic is straight-line convexity math.

Any trade that pays 100x in a rare state has positive expected value once the probability of the state clears about 1%. The math forces the small allocation.

The reason retail avoids these trades is psychological. Watching a position bleed to zero over and over while the rest of the book is up feels like paying for something you don't need. Nobody wants to explain the line item that keeps losing.

The pros hold them because the pros have seen enough tail events to know the ledger balances across decades. Any single quarter looks like a waste. Across a career, the tail hedge is what protects the compounding.

Feel stupid most of the time. Save your book in the moment that matters. That's the trade.

If you want to skip the masterclass and jump straight into our course, the Options Insight Advantage, this is the link.

Jump straight into our course, the Options Insight Advantage

P.S. The teeny put is the trade the market prices you out of the day you actually need it. Owning it early is the whole edge.

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Imran


Disclaimer (Your Gains & Losses, Your Responsibility): This content from Options Insight LLC (“Options Insight”) is for educational purposes only and does not provide individual investment advice or recommendations, nor should it be considered an offer to buy or sell any security. All information is general and not tailored to your specific objectives, financial situation, or risk tolerance. Employees of Options Insight may hold positions in the assets discussed. While we use sources believed to be reliable, we are not responsible for errors, omissions, or losses resulting from reliance on this content. Always consult a licensed investment professional.


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