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I would rather not just buy the calls and hope

Imran Lakha
Imran Lakha3 min read

Last week I wrote on X about how to spot a squeeze building. Spot and vol going up together on a single name.

Today, I'll touch on what I'd actually put on for the view.

Say you spot one. Heavy call activity, stock starting to move, vol has popped a bit but hasn't gone insane yet.

The intuitive expression is to buy short-dated out-of-the-money calls. YOLO calls, as they get called. Cheap in dollars, huge payoff diagram, easy to describe.

I don't do this trade often. The decay is brutal and you need one specific outcome on one specific timetable. Squeeze happens on Tuesday, you get paid. Squeeze happens the following Monday, you're already expired.

The shape I'd rather put on.

A call ratio back spread. Some desks call it a short call ratio, depending on where they came up. Same trade.

You sell one call somewhere around 110% of spot. You buy two or three calls at 120%. Because the near strike carries more premium, you can often get the whole structure done for close to nothing.

Here's what it does.

If the squeeze never happens, you've spent almost nothing. Nothing much happens to you either way.

If it does happen, those multiple upside strikes wake up. You collect delta and vega together as the thing runs. Two ways to get paid, on the same trade, from the same underlying view.

They're not always cheap. Call skew can make the ratio harder to build than the example suggests, especially if the upside calls have already caught a bid. But the shape is worth pricing before you default to a straight call chase when the stock's already looking overbought.

The bigger point about expression selection.

Every view has a spectrum of shapes that can express it. Straight calls. Ratios. Calendars. Flies. Each one has a different combination of what has to happen and how much you pay to wait. The interesting work in a live setup is picking the shape that matches your patience, your budget, and your read of the vol surface.

Which view wants a ratio. Which view wants a straight call. Which view wants something with a defined loss and a defined patience horizon. This is part of my framework. I unveil parts of it in my free 60 minutes masterclass, linked below.

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If you want to skip the masterclass and jump straight into our course, the Options Insight Advantage, this is the link.

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Imran


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